5 October 2014

Using a different method than my published work for the Greek Region and for October I get the following dates which are suspect for >4R earthquakes. I list all the dates even those past.
Oct 4
Oct 5
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15 This date is suspect for a much stronger earthquake in the region of 6R
Oct 16
Oct 21
Oct 23
Oct 26
Oct 30

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11 comments:

  1. Earthquake Prediction5 October 2014 at 10:32

    In the above I know the dates are too many and the confidence for the last 4 listed dates is smaller. I have not done a statistic on this idea, but I list the dates for keeping an eye.

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    Replies
    1. Roger Hunter6 October 2014 at 04:22

      I did some checking on odds for a 4+ quake in your area.

      for a 1 day window, it's 0.164
      for a 2 day window it's 0.250
      for a 3 day window it's 0.389

      based on the ANSS catalog for 1973-2013

      Roger

      Delete
  2. Earthquake Prediction5 October 2014 at 10:36

    Interestingly for me the 15th October which this method expects a good Richter level agrees to within a day to my other method posted below as a bar calendar chart.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:24

    Magnitude mb 4.6
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Date time 2014-10-06 18:08:00.3 UTC
    Location 34.89 N ; 26.59 E
    Depth 10 km
    Distances 394 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,500,603 / local time: 21:08:00.3 2014-10-06
    141 km E of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 137,154 / local time: 21:08:00.3 2014-10-06
    87 km SE of Ágios Nikólaos, Greece / pop: 10,799 / local time: 21:08:00.3 2014-10-06
    46 km SE of Palaíkastron, Greece / pop: 1,094 / local time: 21:08:00.3 2014-10-06

    ReplyDelete
  4. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:26


    Magnitude Mw 4.6
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Date time 2014-10-04 12:27:52.8 UTC
    Location 34.89 N ; 26.21 E
    Depth 30 km
    Distances 400 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,500,603 / local time: 15:27:52.8 2014-10-04
    109 km SE of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 137,154 / local time: 15:27:52.8 2014-10-04
    56 km SE of Ágios Nikólaos, Greece / pop: 10,799 / local time: 15:27:52.8 2014-10-04
    29 km SE of Makry Gialos, Greece / pop: 4,204 / local time: 15:27:52.8 2014-10-04

    ReplyDelete
  5. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:27

    Magnitude Mw 5.1
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Date time 2014-10-03 22:20:46.4 UTC
    Location 34.38 N ; 26.30 E
    Depth 20 km
    Distances 454 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,500,603 / local time: 01:20:46.4 2014-10-04
    149 km SE of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 137,154 / local time: 01:20:46.4 2014-10-04
    105 km SE of Ágios Nikólaos, Greece / pop: 10,799 / local time: 01:20:46.4 2014-10-04
    80 km SE of Makry Gialos, Greece / pop: 4,204 / local time: 01:20:46.4 2014-10-04

    ReplyDelete
  6. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:28

    Magnitude Mw 4.7
    Region SOUTHERN GREECE
    Date time 2014-10-03 15:12:11.0 UTC
    Location 37.93 N ; 21.78 E
    Depth 19 km
    Distances 170 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 18:12:11.0 2014-10-03
    35 km S of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 18:12:11.0 2014-10-03
    19 km SE of Káto Mazarákion, Greece / pop: 1,005 / local time: 18:12:11.0 2014-10-03

    ReplyDelete
  7. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:29


    Magnitude mb 4.4
    Region DODECANESE IS.-TURKEY BORDER REG
    Date time 2014-10-02 15:51:58.1 UTC
    Location 36.01 N ; 27.05 E
    Depth 8 km
    Distances 267 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,500,603 / local time: 18:51:58.1 2014-10-02
    178 km SW of Muğla, Turkey / pop: 48,183 / local time: 18:51:58.1 2014-10-02
    116 km SW of Ródos, Greece / pop: 56,128 / local time: 18:51:58.1 2014-10-02
    58 km N of Kárpathos, Greece / pop: 2,243 / local time: 18:51:58.1 2014-10-02

    ReplyDelete
  8. Earthquake Prediction7 October 2014 at 13:32

    ok Roger re your post above, thank you. My data is usually EMSC or less often USGS

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
  10. Earthquake Prediction16 October 2014 at 12:12

    Magnitude mb 4.6
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Date time 2014-10-16 06:48:29.2 UTC
    Location 35.65 N ; 26.58 E
    Depth 65 km
    Distances 311 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,500,603 / local time: 09:48:29.2 2014-10-16
    135 km E of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 137,154 / local time: 09:48:29.2 2014-10-16
    94 km NE of Ágios Nikólaos, Greece / pop: 10,799 / local time: 09:48:29.2 2014-10-16
    58 km NE of Palaíkastron, Greece / pop: 1,094 / local time: 09:48:29.2 2014-10-16

    ReplyDelete

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