20 September 2013



Hi,
I decided to start this blog in order to test some of my earthquake predictions by posting in here some of the dates of significant earthquakes which may occur in the world and also in Greece.  Earthquake prediction has been a hobby of mine for a few years, and I am beginning to believe that earthquake prediction is possible. Well my techniques have evolved and perhaps improved over the years. For me it has now become a system of prediction which seems to be acceptable in my mind as a prediction which derives from more than one method seems to be more probable.  It is fun for me to be able to be right on my dates and places, but I am learning too, and of course one has to be careful as this is not about making people worry, as we can sometimes be wrong.  It is more for me to be able to communicate some of my findings, which I have done also via publications. It is also good to see other researchers  methods being discussed and would be great if people can collaborate.
Let me therefore start this (and I am sure I will be talking to myself for a while as the blog is new) by some predictions  which I will be posting every month. Predictions local  as well as worldwide.
I hope you find this interesting.
ACB
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21 comments:

  1. Earthquake Prediction20 September 2013 at 11:57

    Anthony Boucouvalas
    9 September in Facebook
    I just had some time to look at the stars and examine the possible earthquakes coming up in Greece. As you are aware Mars is the problem right now Mars is above Greece causing havoc in the skies as he always does. Now I expect a wave a earthquakes from the South, South of Crete coming up north west towards west of Peloponnese all the way to the Corfu region. In time this is the sequence as well. Crete -South peloponnese-West Peloponnese Ionian islands. I do expect maybe 2 earhhquakes not just one....one due to Suturn and another due to South node interraction with Mars.
    OK now the dates.... I estimate the 13th September is one date... and another possible is 19th Sept. with a suspet region West of Peloponnese, and South Peloponnese. Finally possibly on 23-24 Sept. suspect regions Ionian Sea islands. Thats it for now....

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  2. Earthquake Prediction20 September 2013 at 11:58

    Let us complete the September earthquake predictions for the globe.....

    1) 21st Sept 2013 is a date with 6.3R+ quake in the regions East of japan/Tokyo (Pacific Aleutian trench) OR Auckland/Wellington OR Mexico.....

    2) 24th Sept 2013: 6.5R+ even 7.0R in possible regions Papua N.G. OR near China Beijing area OR if it happens on the 25th September 2013 near the Vancouver to S.F. region likely to be near the San Andreas fault.

    3) Finally 27th September 2013: Another very strong earthquake is expected 6.6R+ in possible regions ....Kuala Lumpur region OR China East, OR Papua NG, OR Iran OR Greece.

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  3. AMIT20 September 2013 at 16:28

    Anthony
    Good to see your blog.I expect some thunb rules,guidelines for predicting the quake.
    Roger will help evalute ,if some rules are framed
    Amit

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  4. Unknown20 September 2013 at 16:35

    In the morning I received a message from a colleague telling me "he got it...he got it!", and indeed you got it. Gongrats on your successfull prediction and keep up the good work

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  5. Earthquake Prediction20 September 2013 at 16:51

    Yes AMIT of course, just in due course as I am still struggling with this site.

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  6. Earthquake Prediction20 September 2013 at 16:52

    Euripides ,....yes this morning I woke up from the earthquake and it is amazing that although a bit shaken, I was deep down pleased I got this one.... lol

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  7. Earthquake Prediction21 September 2013 at 18:11

    Magnitude Mw 6.1
    Region FLORES SEA
    Date time 2013-09-21 01:39:15.0 UTC
    Location 7.36 S ; 119.98 E
    Depth 551 km

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  8. Earthquake Prediction21 September 2013 at 21:28

    Just to show you the location was not a fluke, here is another weaker but spot on the location of the quake...

    Magnitude Mw 5.9
    Region SOUTH OF KERMADEC ISLANDS
    Date time 2013-09-21 16:48:58.0 UTC
    Location 33.64 S ; 178.09 W
    Depth 2 km
    Distances 1056 km NE of Wellington, New Zealand / pop: 381,900 / local time: 04:48:58.0 2013-09-22
    653 km NE of Whakatane, New Zealand / pop: 18,602 / local time: 04:48:58.0 2013-09-22

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  9. Earthquake Prediction22 September 2013 at 23:24

    and another hit
    Magnitude mb 5.3
    Region CHIHUAHUA, MEXICO
    Date time 2013-09-21 12:16:13.0 UTC
    Location 27.96 N ; 105.69 W
    Depth 10 km
    Distances 1157 km NW of Mexico City, Mexico / pop: 12,294,193 / local time: 07:16:13.0 2013-09-21
    84 km SE of Chihuahua, Mexico / pop: 708,267 / local time: 06:16:13.0 2013-09-21
    23 km NW of Naica, Mexico / pop: 5,494 / local time: 06:16:13.0 2013-09-21

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  10. Earthquake Prediction22 September 2013 at 23:27

    And another.....All location predictions were correct, although the intensity in some of them were below predicted.
    Magnitude mb 5.2
    Region NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
    Date time 2013-09-21 22:58:23.0 UTC
    Location 52.30 N ; 173.85 E
    Depth 30 km
    Distances 3256 km NE of Tokyo, Japan / pop: 8,336,599 / local time: 07:58:23.0 2013-09-22
    3940 km NE of Pyongyang, North Korea / pop: 3,222,000 / local time: 07:58:23.0 2013-09-22
    3959 km NE of Seoul, South Korea / pop: 10,349,312 / local time: 07:58:23.0 2013-09-22

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  11. Earthquake Prediction22 September 2013 at 23:29

    Absolutely pleased with the location of the earthquakes for the 21st September prediction. Of course this is early days and hardly statistically significant, but all three predicted locations produced correct results....

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  12. Earthquake Prediction24 September 2013 at 00:16

    As I wait for tomorrow's prediction I see that we have had 3 events already in the region of PNG of >5R+ ..... I wonder if they will intensify tomorrow....

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  13. Earthquake Prediction24 September 2013 at 14:59

    From EMSC...

    Magnitude Mw 7.3
    Region PAKISTAN
    Date time 2013-09-24 11:29:50.0 UTC
    Location 27.08 N ; 65.58 E
    Depth 30 km

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  14. Earthquake Prediction24 September 2013 at 22:01

    Magnitude ML 3.8
    Region DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE
    Date time 2013-09-24 04:18:22.0 UTC
    Location 36.49 N ; 26.78 E
    Depth 134 km

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  15. Earthquake Prediction25 September 2013 at 11:46

    This comment has been removed by the author.

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  16. Earthquake Prediction25 September 2013 at 11:54

    Not near Vancouver but we had one today too....Note however that Vancouver and SF are on the same Longitude nearly as this particular earthquake. So....the priciples of my location prediction work just need more thinking on how to improve it.....getting there however....

    Magnitude Mw 6.0
    Region SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE
    Date time 2013-09-25 06:51:23.0 UTC
    Location 50.03 S ; 113.77 W
    Depth 10 km
    Distances 3959 km SW of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,837,295 / local time: 02:51:23.0 2013-09-25
    4751 km SW of Buenos Aires, Argentina / pop: 13,076,300 / local time: 03:51:23.0 2013-09-25
    4813 km SE of Papeete, French Polynesia / pop: 26,357 / local time: 20:51:23.0 2013-09-24

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  17. Earthquake Prediction25 September 2013 at 21:18

    Here is another stronger today in Peru. 24th and 25th are both now for significant earthquakes....

    Magnitude Mw 7.0
    Region NEAR COAST OF SOUTHERN PERU
    Date time 2013-09-25 16:42:43.0 UTC
    Location 15.91 S ; 74.63 W
    Depth 40 km
    Distances 500 km SE of Lima, Peru / pop: 7,737,002 / local time: 11:42:43.0 2013-09-25
    235 km SE of Ica, Peru / pop: 246,844 / local time: 11:42:43.0 2013-09-25
    53 km S of Acarí, Peru / pop: 4,445 / local time: 11:42:43.0 2013-09-25

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  18. Earthquake Prediction25 September 2013 at 21:19

    to remind you of what I said, here is is again to save you scrolling.
    Anthony Boucouvalas20 September 2013 11:58

    Let us complete the September earthquake predictions for the globe.....

    1) 21st Sept 2013 is a date with 6.3R+ quake in the regions East of japan/Tokyo (Pacific Aleutian trench) OR Auckland/Wellington OR Mexico.....

    2) 24th Sept 2013: 6.5R+ even 7.0R in possible regions Papua N.G. OR near China Beijing area OR if it happens on the 25th September 2013 near the Vancouver to S.F. region likely to be near the San Andreas fault.

    3) Finally 27th September 2013: Another very strong earthquake is expected 6.6R+ in possible regions ....Kuala Lumpur region OR China East, OR Papua NG, OR Iran OR Greece.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Earthquake Prediction27 September 2013 at 18:50

    Magnitude ML 4.1
    Region CRETE, GREECE
    Date time 2013-09-27 14:06:14.0 UTC
    Location 35.81 N ; 25.67 E
    Depth 19 km
    Distances 297 km SE of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 17:06:14.0 2013-09-27
    71 km NE of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 137,154 / local time: 17:06:14.0 2013-09-27
    68 km N of Ágios Nikólaos, Greece / pop: 10,799 / local time: 17:06:14.0 2013-09-27
    55 km N of Análipsis, Greece / pop: 1,259 / local time: 17:06:14.0 2013-09-27

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  20. Earthquake Prediction28 September 2013 at 12:29

    Well, here it is...... a few hours off my date however the location is not bad as Iran is next door to Pakistan....working on improving location but I am pleased.

    Magnitude Mw 6.8
    Region PAKISTAN
    Date time 2013-09-28 07:34:08.0 UTC
    Location 27.27 N ; 65.55 E
    Depth 20 km

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  21. Earthquake Prediction28 September 2013 at 12:33

    OK I must now produce the predictions for OCROBER. Lets see if I get some free time later today. Be happy Be Safe.

    ReplyDelete

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