Due to the increasing interest
and activity in the Ionian Sea part of Greece, I have done some localized calculations
for the region 37.5<latitude N<38.6 and 19.8<longitude E<21.5. It is inevitable to get over February an increasing number of aftershocks and therefore one must not panic and show calm. There will be a lot of smaller earthquakes as it is evident today, and I count so far 4 earthquakes of magnitude >4R already after the 6R of 03:08 hours GMT.
So keep calm and do the safety drill as I am sure the local authorities have advised you .
So what do my calculations show then?
Nearly every day until the 8th February we could see a smaller earthquake.
High probability dates I see the following.....
8th, 11th, 13th, 16th, 21st February, and 1st March. In all cases >4R.
I have now a picture for the whole year, but I will post on monthly basis as I update my results....
http://content.screencast.com/users/Andonis2000/folders/Jing/media/ee204582-a0a8-4437-ab77-bc16599781ee/2014-02-03_1431.png
ReplyDeletehttp://content.screencast.com/users/Andonis2000/folders/Jing/media/59393eea-5204-4778-b601-bc48d9a4ed71/2014-02-03_1523.png
ReplyDeleteAs we can see, every day since the 6.0R earthquake we have had a strong but weaker earthquake... Still we have time to go...be safe
ReplyDeleteEven today we have had a smaller earthquake....so that was right, every day since the 6R we have been experiencing smaller earthquakes as said.
ReplyDeleteAs predicted....
ReplyDeleteMagnitude ML 4.0
Region GREECE
Date time 2014-02-08 17:12:50.0 UTC
Location 38.26 N ; 20.39 E
Depth 10 km
Distances 293 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 19:12:50.0 2014-02-08
118 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 19:12:50.0 2014-02-08
12 km NW of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,820 / local time: 19:12:50.0 2014-02-08
7 km NW of Lixoúrion, Greece / pop: 3,758 / local time: 19:12:50.0 2014-02-08
ML 3.6
ReplyDeleteRegion GREECE
Date time 2014-02-11 10:07:35.9 UTC
Location 38.19 N ; 20.41 E
Depth 14 km
Distances 291 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 12:07:35.9 2014-02-11
116 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 12:07:35.9 2014-02-11
7 km W of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,820 / local time: 12:07:35.9 2014-02-11
2 km SW of Lixoúrion, Greece / pop: 3,758 / local time: 12:07:35.9 2014-02-11
I said 11th and 13th we got it in the middle....
ReplyDeleteMagnitude mb 4.6
Region GREECE
Date time 2014-02-12 10:34:32.0 UTC
Location 38.24 N ; 20.30 E
Depth 2 km
Distances 301 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 12:34:32.0 2014-02-12
126 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 12:34:32.0 2014-02-12
18 km W of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,820 / local time: 12:34:32.0 2014-02-12
Spot on
ReplyDeletemb 4.7
Region GREECE
Date time 2014-02-14 03:38:34.0 UTC
Location 38.26 N ; 20.29 E
Depth 2 km
Distances 302 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 05:38:34.0 2014-02-14
126 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 05:38:34.0 2014-02-14
20 km NW of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,820 / local time: 05:38:34.0 2014-02-14
Spot on
ReplyDeletemb 4.4
Region GREECE
Date time 2014-02-21 15:18:23.0 UTC
Location 38.22 N ; 20.42 E
Depth 13 km
Distances 290 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 729,137 / local time: 17:18:23.0 2014-02-21
115 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 163,360 / local time: 17:18:23.0 2014-02-21
7 km NW of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,820 / local time: 17:18:23.0 2014-02-21
2 km NW of Lixoúrion, Greece / pop: 3,758 / local time: 17:18:23.0 2014-02-21